Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 8.510836 9.790327 11.154956 12.714105 14.441447 16.291796 18.418966
2025-03-09 6.500643 8.209101 10.162802 12.543712 15.347393 18.524278 22.375487
2025-03-16 5.017848 6.926885 9.257202 12.267992 16.008566 20.455274 26.089190
2025-03-23 4.270749 6.383938 9.115491 12.824857 17.642784 23.597000 31.409664
2025-03-30 3.530747 5.710737 8.690207 12.931813 18.672458 26.021270 35.969222
2025-04-06 2.777099 4.878741 7.920829 12.461550 18.859971 27.332835 39.145637
2025-04-13 2.166409 4.140445 7.166745 11.897250 18.824392 28.292566 41.856533
2025-04-20 1.919408 3.926574 7.147149 12.364733 20.231858 31.242797 47.336737
2025-04-27 1.808517 3.918211 7.434051 13.298829 22.352184 35.264246 54.437215
2025-05-04 1.665135 3.825497 7.566080 13.989222 24.135350 38.872219 61.088991
2025-05-11 1.439322 3.538672 7.335406 14.069875 24.981397 41.148498 65.924319
2025-05-18 1.186397 3.148973 6.874245 13.719526 25.116815 42.363518 69.252654
2025-05-25 0.985680 2.832307 6.514321 13.522592 25.507280 44.017335 73.357026
2025-06-01 0.843972 2.613860 6.307679 13.567170 26.282219 46.279020 78.438547
2025-06-08 0.702711 2.362989 6.002705 13.402018 26.689117 47.978904 82.729190
2025-06-15 0.656267 2.337229 6.148790 14.076429 28.550808 52.030390 90.729442
2025-06-22 0.572838 2.194587 6.030542 14.236687 29.526215 54.700278 96.679958
2025-06-29 0.456737 1.927735 5.603505 13.754375 29.332901 55.463019 99.671084
2025-07-06 0.354795 1.666873 5.145744 13.158030 28.882757 55.765770 101.922335
2025-07-13 0.327497 1.636951 5.227353 13.672710 30.490330 59.541772 109.820360
2025-07-20 0.326611 1.697935 5.537856 14.688979 33.075995 65.041062 120.631782
2025-07-27 0.312248 1.707259 5.719192 15.438865 35.188326 69.794935 130.343989
2025-08-03 0.271159 1.604609 5.600735 15.527886 36.043258 72.421978 136.648605